Dutch book theorem 意味

A theory stating that when an assumption is made that is not accurate with regard to the likelihood of an event occurring, and then an. Dutch book theorem is a type of probability theory that postulates profit opportunities will arise when inconsistent probabilities are assumed in. Theory meaning in the cambridge english dictionary. Objectivists believe in frequency theory definitions of probability, which refer to objective outcomes of events like coin flips. Impulse meaning in the cambridge english dictionary. The dutch book argument above has to be seen as one more added piece in the company of all the other coherence theoremsfor example, the coherence. The argument for probabilism involves the normative claim that if you are susceptible to. It is the socalled dutch book theorem that guarantees this fact mathematically.

The conclusion of the dba is that the degrees of belief, or credences, that an agent attaches to the members of a set \x\ of sentences, statements, or propositions, should satisfy the axioms of probability. Dutch book arguments stanford encyclopedia of philosophy. A type of probability theory that postulates that profit opportunities will arise when inconsistent probabilities are assumed in a given context and are in violation of the. This interpretation is achieved through following the two.

Probabilism involves the normative claim that if your degrees of belief violate it, you are irrational. In gambling, a dutch book or lock is a set of odds and bets which guarantees a profit. Theory definition and meaning collins english dictionary. Given a set of betting quotients that fails to satisfy the probability. A theory stating that when an assumption is made that is not accurate with regard to the likelihood of an event occurring, and then an opportunity for profit could arise for an intermediary. A theory is a formal idea or set of ideas that is intended to explain something. Coherent decisions imply consistent utilities arbital. Get it delivered safely by sal, ems, fedex and save with cdjapan rewards.

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